
BRUSSELS — In a major milestone toward ending a decade of war in Afghanistan, Defense Secretary Leon E. Panetta said Wednesday that American forces would step back from a combat role there as early as mid-2013, more than a year before all American troops are scheduled to come home.
KABUL, Afghanistan — Several Taliban negotiators have begun meeting with American officials in Qatar, where they are discussing preliminary trust-building measures, including a possible prisoner transfer, several former Taliban officials said Saturday.
It appears the White House is moving to transfer five Taliban prisoners from Guantanamo Bay, Cuba as an incentive to bring the Afghan insurgency closer to peace talks. In early January, White House officials denied a Guardian report that a "handful of Taliban figures" would be exchanged for the Taliban opening a political office in Qatar to launch negotiations. "This report is not accurate," National Security Council spokesman Tommy Vietor told The Atlantic Wire. "The United States has not decided to release any Taliban officials." It wasn't clear what was considered inaccurate about the story but reports this morning suggest the prisoner transfer is moving forward.
WASHINGTON (AP) — Reclusive Taliban leader Mullah Mohammed Omar wrote to President Barack Obama last year indicating an interest in talks key to ending the war in Afghanistan, current and former U.S. officials told The Associated Press.
The letter purportedly from Omar was unsigned. It was passed through a Taliban intermediary in July and intended for the White House. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity because the letter and its contents are part of sensitive diplomacy with a fighting force that still targets U.S. troops.
The previously undisclosed communication was considered authentic by people who saw it, but skeptical administration officials said they cannot determine it actually came from Omar. The Obama administration did not directly respond to the letter, two officials said, although it has broadened contacts with Omar's emissaries since then.
Sources who described the letter did not disclose its precise contents, but one current and one former official said it addressed Taliban willingness to build trust with the United States. One official said Omar complained that the United States had not done enough to establish good faith for negotiations, such as arranging the release of Taliban prisoners held in the U.S. military prison at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba.
Most of us here saw those stories earlier this week. They are just a refresher. For the main point.
The Afghanistan effort is collapsing and rapidly. Mostly for political reasons, so Obama can claim having ended both of "Bush's Wars" in his first term.
Just an aside, if we aren't in Afghanistan to win, get out. No phased withdrawal, just get out. Everything since Oct. 7, 2001 has been wasted effort, wasted lives, wasted blood, wasted treasure. I can't express how sick I feel at writing those words.
Afghanistan was a winnable proposition, if done right, winnable in an objective of leaving a stable, nominally democratic government behind which could resist the Radical Islamists and provide some protection of individual rights.
The current state of collapse, and how to gain meaningful object success in Afghanistan is here, if you care to review it. Op-Ed Reprise from Jan 5th 2010 - C2 Op-Ed File: JCM and realwest on Obama's Afghanistan policy.
Afghanistan will pull Pakistan down with it into the sewer of Radical Islamic States.
With the "Arab Spring" the entire Northern tier of Africa is now Radicalized. Syria is toppling, Turkey is teetering. The Saudi Royal Family feeds the tiger hoping to be eaten last. Iraq is also losing ground to the Islamist since our pull out.
Osama bin Laden's Scary Vision of a Grand Muslim Super State
In order to evaluate the aftermath of September 11, we first must understand that event. What did al-Qaeda intend to achieve? Only if we understand that can we gauge their success or failure.
From the point of view of al-Qaeda, the Muslim world can and should be united into a single country. They believe that it once had this political unity, under the early caliphs. Even as late as the outbreak of World War I, the Ottoman state ruled much of the Middle East, and the Ottoman sultans had begun making claims to be caliphs (Muslim popes) from about 1880. In the below map, blue indicates heavy Muslim populations, green means medium, and yellow means the Muslims are a significant minority.

Bin Laden sees the Muslim world as continually invaded, divided and weakened by outside forces. Among these is the Americans in Saudi Arabia and the Israelis in geographical Palestine. He repeatedly complained about the occupation of the three holy cities, i.e., Mecca, Medina and Jerusalem.
For al-Qaeda to succeed, it must overthrow the individual nation-states in the Middle East, most of them colonial creations, and unite them into a single, pan-Islamic state. But Ayman al-Zawahiri's organization, al-Jihad al-Islami, had tried very hard to overthrow the Egyptian state, and was always checked. Al-Zawahiri thought it was because of U.S. backing for Egypt. They believed that the U.S. also keeps Israel dominant in the Levant, and backs Saudi Arabia's royal family.
Those of us around here are familiar with Radical Islam's goal of restoring the Caliphate.
Not in the 7 years of George Bush and the active war on Radical Islma did Radical Islam make such gains. These gains have only been since Obama's Cairo speech, extending a open hand to Radical Islam.
In 750 at the height of the 1st Caliphate the map looked like this.

A unified Islamic empire spreading from the Himalayas, to the Pyrenees.
Now in 2012, what do we have?

Not all the green is controlled by Radical Islam. However everywhere there is green Radical Islam is being felt.
The second (geographically) tier of Africa States are descending rapidly into failed states where Islamic Warlords can establish bases, Syria is nearly gone, Turkey on the brink and Iraq is sliding into the abyss. Afghanistan is being handed back to the Taliban, which will further destabilize and in all likelihood finish off Pakistan. This will increase tension with India, and the amount internal Islamic insurrection in India will increase, as will the external threat. Malaysia and Indonesia are also sorely pressed by the Radical Islamists and are crumbling.
In 3 short years we've gone from holding Radical Islam to holding essentially only Iran, with nominally secular and thuggish regimes holding power for their own reasons. Some like Egypt aligned with the West and keeping the peace for 30 years.
Sooner rather than later I fear, with Obama's aid, I believe we will hear the declaration of a New Caliphate, with either Iran's or Pakistan's nuclear threat to back it up, and control of the Mid-east oil.
And I thought Rabbit Bait's capitulations to the Soviets were bad. Bait was a amateur.
HT: Occasional Reader

The ostensible purpose of gun control legislation is to reduce firearm deaths and injuries. The restriction of access to firearms will make criminals unable to use guns to shoot people. Gun control laws will also reduce the number of accidental shootings. Those are the desired effects, at least in theory. It is important, however, for conscientious policymakers to consider not only the stated goals of gun control regulations, but the actual results that they produce.
What would be the effect of depriving ordinary, law-abiding citizens from keeping arms for self-defense? One result seems certain: the law-abiding would be at a distinct disadvantage should criminals acquire guns from underground markets. After all, it is simply not possible for police officers to get to every scene where they are urgently needed.
Outside of criminology circles, relatively few people can reasonably estimate how often people use guns to fend off criminal attacks. If policymakers are truly interested in harm reduction, they should pause to consider how many crimes — murders, rapes, assaults, robberies — are thwarted each year by ordinary persons with guns. The estimates of defensive gun use range between the tens of thousands to as high as two million each year.
This paper uses a collection of news reports of self-defense with guns over an eight-year period to survey the circumstances and outcomes of defensive gun uses in America.
Defensive Gun Use: An Interactive Map
Purchase a Copy from the Cato Bookstore
Download the Full White Paper (PDF) (6 MB)
View this White Paper in HTML
A couple of interesting items in the paper.
Colorado State University decided to allow concealed carry, while the University of Colorado prohibited firearms. The former observed a rapid decline in reported crimes, while the latter, under the gun ban they claimed was for safety, observed a rapid increase in crime.
***
The data set contains only 11 stories out of 4,699 where a criminal took a gun away from a defender; the reverse was reported more than 20 times more often.
This study only focuses on individuals using firearms for personal defense.
The primary function of the Second Amendment and right to keep and bear arms is for The People to have the means to resist tyranny.
In 2009 U.S. had 31,347 firearms deaths. (Source CDC)
Normally about 5.5 in 10 are suicides, 4 in 10 homicide, and remaining accidents etc...
I can't find the data going back far enough, so let's assume a static rate of 30,000 a year for the U.S.
Rummel at Univ. of Hawaii put's China's death toll to it's tyrannical gov't at 76 million.
So 65 years, times 30,000 that's 1.9 million a lot but no where near 76 million.
Russia, had 70 years, and 60 million dead.
When you examine the death toll tyrannies exacted on unarmed populations in the 20th century you come up with over 200 million killed.
Or 100 times the number in an armed America.
Food for thought.